Forex real profit 🧡 Dort gibts die beliebtesten Produkte

#TraderWivesNatter

Short? Long? Who gives a fuck as long you're maxed out! "Gain as if you'll live forever. Trade as if you'll die today. ...Then, go fuck yourself."
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La realidad del trading. Te cuento por que la mayoría de personas pierden.

La verdad que en todos lados leo gente diciendo que el trading no funciona y que prefieren meterse en las inversiones a mediano y largo plazo, e ir a lo seguro, lo cual no esta mal, pero en parte estan equivocados.
El trading SI funciona, y te voy a explicar por que. Básicamente la mayoria de la gente fracasa porque compra cursos de mierda, de traders de mierda que no saben un carajo. Y cuál es el problema de esto? Que basicamente estas aprendiendo con la información erronea, con los puntos de vista de gente inútil, y cuando vos vas al mercado perdés la mayoria de las veces. Incluso he visto gente con AÑOS de estudio que no saben leer bien la estructura del mercado, y ni hablar de su pesimo rendimiento. Se enfocan en lineas de tendencia, soportes y resistencias, patrones de velas y toda esa basura que te enseñan en youtube, lo cual no esta mal, pero si no tenes un entendimiento de estructura, ciclos, manipulacion no vas a llegar a ningun lado.
Y que pasa con esto? Que el tipo que estudio en esos cursos basuras, pierde, se frustra y lo ves en todos lados criticando al trading. Además de tener una estrategia nefasta basada en cientos de indicadores y figuras chartistas, también tiene una pesima gestión de riesgo, lo cual significa fracaso.
La mayoría de los traders que vos ves en youtube la plata que generan son de cursos y no de los mercados, no se dejen engañar. Son muy buenos mostrándote resultados pasados en tradingview y subiendo fotos en miami pero operando son un desastre. O también te muestran alguna ganancia que tuvieron y la suben a youtube, a instagram y a donde sea, pero no te muestran el track record completo, asi cualquiera pa. Todo esto que mencioné lo hacen para vender mas y que la gente se haga falsas ilusiones.
Cual es mi recomendación?
Empezá buscando un curso bueno, con la información correcta. Tenes el de SMB capital, el de Tradingdefuturos y el de Inner circle trader, este ultimo se esta popularizando demasiado y es bastante efectivo.
Estos cursos se enfocan en trading institucional, en liquidez, manipulación y todo lo que vos necesitas saber para tener un buen entendimiento del mercado a nivel estructural, etc.
Ya diciendote todo esto te ahorre años de tiempo perdido, espero que aproveches.
Cual es el siguiente aspecto importante? La gestion de riesgo, si vos tenes esto y una buena estrategia ya tenes rentabilidad.
Por que? Bueno, yo siempre recomiendo operar con un ratio riesgo beneficio de 1:3. Que quiere decir esto? Que arriesgo 1 para ganar 3, y de esta forma me puedo permitir tener pérdidas sin que me afecte.
Suponiendo que vos arriesgas un 2% por operación, para ganar 6% (1:3), vos necesitarías un 30% de efectividad para salir ganador.
Si vos perdes 7 operaciones, y ganas 3, con un 2% de riesgo por trade estarias ganando un total de 4%. Si vos perdes 5 operaciones y ganas 5, con un 2% estarías ganando un 20%. Y asi sucesivamente. Si subís el riesgo a 5% ni te cuento.
Y si, seguro algunos monos despues de leer esto me van a querer citar a Warren Buffet diciendo que el gana un 30% al año. Y cual es la diferencia? Warren buffet es multimillonario, vos sos alguien con una cuenta de 500usd. 5% de 80mil millones son 4mil millones. 5% de 500 es de 25usd. Vos si te podes dar el lujo de perder dinero, el no. Ademas, , el es inversor, no trader.
Vos al tener cuentas chicas de 100 a 10k te podes dar el lujo de operar con mas riesgo, y asi obtener mas rentabilidad mensual. La rentabilidad que vos tengas va a depender del riesgo que estes dispuesto a asumir.
No te sorprendas si ves a gente generando un 200% anual o mensual, o incluso semanal. Por que? Porque probablemente esten usando un riesgo altísimo y si tienen una mala semana cagan fuego. Es posible, por mas que los cabezas de termo te digan que no, si es posible sacar 10%, 20% y 30% mensual, lo que necesitas es una buena gestión de riesgo y una estrategia rentable. Ahora, como dije, todo depende del riesgo que estes dispuesto a asumir, si vos usas un riesgo bajisimo de 0.5% por operación y generas un 5% de 2k, son 100usd, con eso no haces nada., pero en cuentas grandes, de 100k, 5% son 5mil usd, suficiente para vivir tranquilo y cagarte de risa.
Ahora, suponiendo que vos ya te leíste todos los libros y cursos e hiciste mucho backtesting, y en demo tenes buena efectividad, pero no tenes los huevos para operar en real, que haces?
Fácil, haces una prueba de fondeo en alguna firma, de esa forma si perdes no te quemas tanto, pero si ganas tenes una cuenta de 25k en tu poder. Cual es el requisito de estas pruebas? 4% en seis meses, es decir, tenes seis meses para conseguir ese objetivo. Seis meses es demasiado tiempo, asi que si vos realmente sos rentable lo vas a conseguir.
Que mercados recomiendo? Forex y futuros, y si, tambien hay monos que odian forex pero es porque no lo saben operar. En forex tenes mas liquidez, mejor apalancamiento, mercado 24/5, y los análisis fundamentales son mucho mas sencillos. Suponiendo que vos aprendiste con los que te mencioné arriba no vas a tener problemas entendiendo forex.
El trading no es tan complicado, la gente se complica y se frustra. Recuerden siempre tener un buen ratio riesgo beneficio y ya no les van a molestar tanto las pérdidas.
Yo abro tres o cuatro operaciones al mes con un 2% de riesgo, en scalping, en un dia cualquiera. Si yo gano dos y pierdo dos ya tengo un 8%, que hago? No opero hasta el mes que viene y me enfoco en otras cosas, y listo, no busco mas que eso. No sobreopero, no busco 200% al mes porque no necesito, y tampoco cierro las operaciones antes de tocar el take profit, porque asi es mi gestión de riesgo. A las cuentas de 100usd y 500usd aprovechenlas, usen un riesgo un poco mas alto y con el tiempo van a tener un buen monto. Si ustedes tienen un trabajo estable no les va a joder tanto perder eso. A medida que la cuenta sube el riesgo baja. Siempre antes de mandarse en real asegurense de haber hecho mucho backtesting, mucho.
Si pueden traten siempre operar para firmas de trading, es mucho mejor en mi opinión ya que no arriesgas tu dinero y cada cierto tiempo te duplican el capital para operar (en caso de que cumplas con los objetivos).
Firmas que recomiendo :The5ers y Ftmo.
submitted by degranthis1 to merval [link] [comments]

LA MEJOR ESTRATEGIA SCALPING | DAYTRADING QUE ENCONTRE!

LA MEJOR ESTRATEGIA SCALPING | DAYTRADING QUE ENCONTRE!
Buenas a todos, espero puedan apreciar este post ya que nunca suelo publicar mis métodos de trading o investigaciones sobre análisis fundamental o temas macroeconómicos.
https://preview.redd.it/w96zls5wkoe51.png?width=1364&format=png&auto=webp&s=6f2af34fba6cda1b3161e1843c1562c96942e6ba
Primero que nada hace bastante tiempo que cada día opero el Nasdaq para poder pulir al máximo mi forma de operar, eh probado miles de estrategias o indicadores que aparecen en youtube que te dicen esto y aquello y que hacete millonario con 50 usd en forex...blabla. Luego de haber probado de todo haber que es lo que realmente servía llegué a dar con un par de traders profesionales con mas de 33 años de experiencia en la bolsa de new york, otro con mas de 15 años de experiencia y el ultimo con 10 años, el primero es "Oliver Velez" , el segundo es "Marcello Arrambide" y por ultimo "Borja Tube" mi método esta basado en una combinación de los 3 adaptado a mi operativa, ya que considero que no es real poder aplicar el método de otra persona tal cual a la situación de cada uno.
Oliver Vélez opera en una temporalidad de 2 minutos, con una media móvil simple de 20 y otra de 200, nada mas que eso. El opera acciones americanas y recientemente se metió en criptomonedas ofreciendo comentar cada decisión que toma ya que las opera a largo plazo.
Marcello Arrambide quien tiene la academia DTA opera con ticks en vez de con velas, con otros indicadores y opera futuros. Sus indicadores no son mi estilo de operar y tampoco la grafica de ticks, pero utiliza un indicador en particular que realmente sirve y es el canal de kelther el cual la configuración que ellos usan es para graficas ticks así que cada quien lo tiene que configurar a su gusto envelas japonesas.
Borja Tube quien opera con su socio Lorenzo, operan futuros también y utilizan una media móvil de 15 sino mal recuerdo, a veces el retroceso de fibonacci y el volumen principalmente. De su forma de operar lo que rescato es el uso del volumen aplicado a grandes movimientos que también aplica en el caso de Oliver Velez salvo que difieren en el momento de entrada.
Entonces ¿Cómo opero yo?
Bueno yo utilizo tradingview en su versión gratuita por lo que uso una temporalidad de 3 minutos que me gusta mucho porque no es tan lenta como la de 5 min, o muy rápida como de 2 min. Uso dos medias móviles exponenciales de 20 y 200, utilizo el canal de kelther y el volumen pero en su versión intra bar eso significa que es un volumen que me muestra en Una Vela el porcentaje de venta y de compra, en vez del clásico una vela es si o si roja o verde. Desde que abre el mercado a las 9:30 new york, el tiempo de operar suelen ser 15 min, rara vez llego a los 30 min y si es así es porque estoy en una posición. Normalmente busco 1 sola operación y excepcionalmente 2, luego de dos operaciones esta demostrado que las emociones empiezan a jugar en contra notablemente. Solo entro si veo claro la entrada o veo oportunidad de ganar, si estoy en duda directamente no entro y me quedo esperando a que mejore la situación y si no es así entonces no es día operable. Una de las cosas que mas cuesta darse cuenta es que no es necesario operar todos los días, o hacer 10 operaciones en una mañana. Es increíble el dinero que se ahorran al no operar cuando el mercado no esta bueno.
No quiero hacer el post muy extenso pero para que puedan entender con ejemplos les puedo decir que por ejemplo una prueba de fondeo para que te den 25 mil usd reales implica que pases una prueba en demo durante 1 mes, en la cual no podes operar con exceso de contratos, no podes perder mas de 500 usd por dia y la perdida maxima total es de 1500 usd, el objetivo es lograr en 1 mes una ganancia de 1500 usd constantes (26.500 al final del mes), eso quiere decir que no hayas ganado eso por suerte apostando mucho en 1 dia.
Entonces simulando esas reglas de:
  • capital = 25 mil usd
  • perdida máxima diaria = 500 usd
  • perdida máxima total = 1500 usd,
  • uso de contratos = 10 usd por punto (son 5 contratos micro e mini nasdaq)
Operando desde el día 12 de Junio con un profit buscado por única operación de 200 usd a día de hoy, aplicando mi estrategia los 25.000 usd se transformaron en 27.600 usd. Vuelvo aclarar por las dudas, esto se opera en demo y si se supera los 26.500 te dan a operar una cuenta real de 25 mil usd. Aquí lo que se prueba es el método, tema emociones en real es otro mundo pero primero hay que tener un estrategia que sea ganadora realmente.
Como pueden ver es una estrategia que funciona realmente, hay muchas cosas mas que influyen que se aprenden con la experiencia y demás, si quieren que haga un post sobre mas del tema pídanmelo.
A continuación les dejo las operaciones (-0.75 es la comisión supuesta por operación)
Jul 31 27 600.00 27 599.25 -0.75
Jul 31 27 297.00 27 600.00 +303.00
Jul 31 27 297.75 27 297.00 -0.75
Jul 30 27 298.50 27 297.75 -0.75
Jul 30 27 091.50 27 298.50 +207.00
Jul 30 27 092.25 27 091.50 -0.75
Jul 29 27 093.00 27 092.25 -0.75
Jul 29 26 964.00 27 093.00 +129.00
Jul 29 26 964.75 26 964.00 -0.75
Jul 28 26 965.50 26 964.75 -0.75
Jul 28 27 252.50 26 965.50 -287.00
Jul 28 27 253.25 27 252.50 -0.75
Jul 28 27 254.00 27 253.25 -0.75
Jul 28 27 440.00 27 254.00 -186.00
Jul 28 27 440.75 27 440.00 -0.75
Jul 27 27 441.50 27 440.75 -0.75
Jul 27 27 139.00 27 441.50 +302.50
Jul 27 27 139.75 27 139.00 -0.75
Jul 27 27 140.50 27 139.75 -0.75
Jul 27 27 141.25 27 140.50 -0.75
Jul 27 27 253.75 27 141.25 -112.50
Jul 27 27 254.50 27 253.75 -0.75
Jul 24 27 255.25 27 254.50 -0.75
Jul 24 27 055.25 27 255.25 +200.00
Jul 24 27 056.00 27 055.25 -0.75
Jul 24 27 056.75 27 056.00 -0.75
Jul 24 26 554.75 27 056.75 +502.00
Jul 24 26 555.50 26 554.75 -0.75
Jul 24 26 556.25 26 555.50 -0.75
Jul 24 26 914.25 26 556.25 -358.00
Jul 24 26 915.00 26 914.25 -0.75
Jul 22 26 915.75 26 915.00 -0.75
Jul 22 27 171.75 26 915.75 -256.00
Jul 22 27 172.50 27 171.75 -0.75
Jul 21 27 173.25 27 172.50 -0.75
Jul 21 26 960.25 27 173.25 +213.00
Jul 21 26 961.00 26 960.25 -0.75
Jul 20 26 961.75 26 961.00 -0.75
Jul 20 26 701.75 26 961.75 +260.00
Jul 20 26 702.50 26 701.75 -0.75
Jul 17 26 703.25 26 702.50 -0.75
Jul 17 26 503.25 26 703.25 +200.00
Jul 17 26 504.00 26 503.25 -0.75
Jul 17 26 504.75 26 504.00 -0.75
Jul 17 26 499.75 26 504.75 +5.00
Jul 17 26 500.50 26 499.75 -0.75
Jul 16 26 501.25 26 500.50 -0.75
Jul 16 26 486.25 26 501.25 +15.00
Jul 16 26 487.00 26 486.25 -0.75
Jul 14 26 487.75 26 487.00 -0.75
Jul 14 26 234.75 26 487.75 +253.00
Jul 14 26 235.50 26 234.75 -0.75
Jul 13 26 236.25 26 235.50 -0.75
Jul 13 26 034.25 26 236.25 +202.00
Jul 13 26 035.00 26 034.25 -0.75
Jul 10 26 035.75 26 035.00 -0.75
Jul 10 25 825.75 26 035.75 +210.00
Jul 10 25 826.50 25 825.75 -0.75
Jul 9 25 827.25 25 826.50 -0.75
Jul 9 25 452.25 25 827.25 +375.00
Jul 9 25 453.00 25 452.25 -0.75
Jul 9 25 453.75 25 453.00 -0.75
Jul 9 25 521.75 25 453.75 -68.00
Jul 9 25 522.50 25 521.75 -0.75
Jul 8 25 523.25 25 522.50 -0.75
Jul 8 25 270.25 25 523.25 +253.00
Jul 8 25 271.00 25 270.25 -0.75
Jul 7 25 271.75 25 271.00 -0.75
Jul 7 25 271.75 25 271.75 0.00
Jul 7 25 272.50 25 271.75 -0.75
Jul 2 25 273.25 25 272.50 -0.75
Jul 2 25 059.25 25 273.25 +214.00
Jul 2 25 060.00 25 059.25 -0.75
Jul 1 25 060.75 25 060.00 -0.75
Jul 1 24 839.75 25 060.75 +221.00
Jul 1 24 840.50 24 839.75 -0.75
Jun 29 24 841.25 24 840.50 -0.75
Jun 29 24 838.25 24 841.25 +3.00
Jun 29 24 839.00 24 838.25 -0.75
Jun 17 24 839.75 24 839.00 -0.75
Jun 17 25 177.75 24 839.75 -338.00
Jun 17 25 178.50 25 177.75 -0.75
Jun 16 25 179.25 25 178.50 -0.75
Jun 16 25 202.25 25 179.25 -23.00
Jun 16 25 203.00 25 202.25 -0.75
Jun 15 25 203.75 25 203.00 -0.75
Jun 15 25 199.75 25 203.75 +4.00
Jun 15 25 200.50 25 199.75 -0.75
Jun 12 25 201.25 25 200.50 -0.75
Jun 12 24 999.25 25 201.25 +202.00
Jun 12 25 000.00 24 999.25 -0.75
Si llegaron hasta acá, les agradezco por leer todo y espero que esto pueda ayudar a quienes anden medios perdidos con el trading al igual que yo lo estaba al principio. Comparto esta información con el único fin de ayudar con el conocimiento y experiencia que tengo para que otros no tropiecen tantas veces o puedan acortar su camino a ser traders. Un saludo a todos!
submitted by PandaPaul0 to merval [link] [comments]

Summarizing some free trading idea resources I've been using

I've been following many free resources on youtube and twitter to generate trading ideas. Some of them are suspicious; some are more like boasting their wining trades but never post any losing trades. I see many people ask about trading ideas/resources, so I want to briefly share some resources I find useful.

Twitter resources:
  1. @ TicTocTick


  1. @ tradingwarz


  1. @ traderstewie


Youtube resources:
  1. Conquer trading and investing. https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCN2WmKUchJpIcS1MupY-BuA


  1. Blaze Capital: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCq0BCGckWWjrnV8YdYO24JA
Other notes:
  1. The scalping trades in the morning is not very suitable for small accounts since they will trade for example 100 shares of BA (~160) to scalp a few dollars per share.
  2. Even though the stocks on their weekly watchlist does well very, one still need to come up with an actionable plan. Very often say they recommend stock A on Sunday, and on Monday it already gaps up big. They sometimes do YOLO options -- big risk big rewards-- options can go to 0.
  3. Besides the free content, everyone can get a free one-week trial for their paid membership, or a 2-week free trial by winning a lottery game on their youtube ( what I did) or knowing someone in their group and get a referral. What I like about the group: (i) very frequently updates each day on SPY and stocks on the watchlist. (ii) all their positions, Profit / Loss are very transparent. I learned a lot about how to manage trades by observing their live trades. (iii) There are many very experienced traders in the group posting their trading ideas, plans, entry/exit, and there are many live discussions. (iv) There's a "helpdesk" in the group where members' questions will be answered in minutes. I often ask about my trading plan, entries/ targets.




Other resources:
  1. Shadow trader free newsletter
https://www.shadowtrader.net/newsletter-category/swing-trade


I've spent much time looking for free contents, and I like the ones above. Also looking forward to hearing about other good/bad resources. I might also update this post if there are enough interests. NFA
submitted by Busy-Valuable to Daytrading [link] [comments]

DeFi: como escapar del peso (y de la AFIP). Capítulo 1

Capítulo 1: Introducción
Disclaimer: la siguiente guía es una repaso general del movimiento DeFi (Decentralized Finance / Finanzas Descentralizadas), sus servicios y posibilidades. De ninguna manera representa una sugerencia financiera o de inversión. Todos los servicios de los cuáles se habla presentan riesgos tanto financieros como técnicos, y cada uno deberá hacer su propia investigación antes de decidir usarlos.
No estoy asociado a ninguno de los servicios que se mencionan, no hay referral links y no obtengo ninguna ganancia de nada de lo que se habla en este texto
Cubrir todos los temas acá tratados de manera exhaustiva sería una tarea imposible, por lo que el objetivo es dar a conocer los principios básicos de todo el sistema, para que luego cada uno profundice en lo que más le interesa. Tampoco pretende ser un tutorial paso a paso de ninguno de los servicios mencionados

Lo básico
DeFi se refiere a todos los servicios que permiten el manejo de inversiones de manera descentralizada, es decir sin un tercero (banco, broker) que maneje los fondos o los activos. En su gran mayoría va a depender de la red Ethereum, que mediante sus smart contracts va a permitir no sólo manejarse con stablecoins (DAI, USDC) sino intercambiar activos, prestar plata o tomar créditos. Las principales ventajas de manejarse de esta manera son las siguientes:
La motivación de esta guía es ayudar a cuanta gente sea posible a escapar del ridículo corralito financiero argentino. Vivimos en un país en el que ahorrar es muy difícil e invertir con rentabilidad una odisea casi imposible. El sistema esta roto: trabas, regulaciones, cambios de reglas permanentes, inflación, impuestos en cada paso hacen que resguardar y hacer crecer el dinero que uno obtuvo sea, en mi experiencia, casi imposible.
Comencemos.

Stablecoins. La base de todo.
A grandes rasgos un stablecoin es una criptomoneda atada al valor de una moneda fiat, en general el dólar (aunque puede ser al EUR, GBP, CNY, etc.). Posicionarse en un stablecoin es el primer paso para entrar al mundo DeFi y escapar del peso. Con sólo convertir los pesos o dólares físicos a un stablecoin uno ya comienza a disfrutar de todas las ventajas de este sistema: digitalización, seguridad, transparencia, no-fricción, salida del sistema, entre otros, mientras evita la principal desventaja de las crypto, la volatilidad. Como convertir mis papelitos de colores a un stablecoin? Puede ser a través de un exchange local (Satoshi Tango, Buen Bit, Ripio) o, mejor aún, en una transacción personal. Dicho en criollo: en "una cueva" donde manejen crypto. De esta manera uno se asegura ya arrancar todo el proceso de manera privada y sin terceras partes en el medio. Cómo conseguir una cueva donde me cambien? Preguntar, pedir referencias, buscar. Hay muchos grupos en varias redes sociales de Bitcoin y crypto en general donde se puede empezar la averiguación. También se puede averiguar en "cuevas tradicionales". Se lo dejo a cada uno.
Si uno ya tiene Ethereum u otras cryptos, el pase es mucho más simple: puede hacerlo en un DEX (Decentralized Exchange) o en cualquier servicio online de intercambio de criptoactivos
Existen muchas stablecoins, con diferentes características, algunas mas descentralizadas y otras menos, pero acá vamos a hablar de dos: USDC y DAI.
USDC
El USDC (USD Coin) es una proyecto de las empresas Coinbase y Circle de USA, que crearon un ERC20 Token en Ethereum donde cada 1 USDC que se emite esta respaldado por 1 USD físico en posesión de estas empresas. De esa manera aseguran la cotización 1 a 1, ya que en sus plataformas pueden ser redimibles por dólares reales. Esto trae algún riesgo adicional: más allá de basarse en una red abierta (Ethereum), los términos y condiciones de la moneda hablan de que podrían bloquear transacciones si se utilizan para fines ilícitos.
DAI
A diferencia del USDC, el DAI está respaldado por otras cryptos, haciéndolo de esta manera totalmente descentralizado (ya que no depende de ninguna empresa u organismo) y más seguro y transparente. La relación de cotización con el dólar se logra con "política monetaria" votada por la comunidad, a través de la tasa de interés que se define para crear o prestar DAI. El respaldo (o collateral, como le llaman en el sistema) es como decía arriba otras cryptos, actualmente ETH, BAT, USDC y WBTC. Cada DAI emitido esta respaldado (de manera descentralizada via smart contracts) por esas cryptos en un 150%: es decir que 1DAI tiene respaldo por el equivalente a 1.5USD en ETH, BAT, USDC o WBTC.
Ok. Y ahora?
Ahora ya tenemos el primer paso, no menor, dado. Estar posicionado en un stablecoin en vez de en dinero físico o en un banco da una sensación de libertad, seguridad e independencia difícil de explicar. Ahora si, cada uno podrá hacer lo que quiera con sus USD sin andar pidiendo permiso ni dando explicaciones a nadie. Podés guardarlo, enviarlo a la otra punta del mundo o invertirlo, a tu manera y según tus propias reglas.
Y todo esto sin la volatilidad habitual de Bitcoin, Ethereum u otras cryptos. Tus USDC o DAI siempre van a valer lo mismo: 1/1USD.
Para quien nunca haya operado en crypto, la recomendación general es ir metiéndose de a poco, con montos que signifiquen poca plata para esa persona, para ir probando el sistema. Es un mundo completamente nuevo, con conceptos nuevos que se deben aprender y cierta complejidad técnica. Una vez superado este paso, el siguiente es la inversión. No vamos a tocar acá la inversión en Cryptos como por ejemplo comprar Bitcoin, Ethereum o cualquier otra altcoin. El objetivo de esta guía es dar a conocer el equivalente (o lo más cercano posible) a las inversiones tradicionales en el mundo crypto.
Cuando hablo de inversiones me refiero a la **búsqueda de un retorno en dólares**. Estar posicionado en USD (mediante USDC y DAI) no es una inversión en si misma sino simplemente el punto de partida, ya que no tiene un rendimiento, a menos que se mida contra el ARS, que no debería ser siquiera considerado moneda.
Que opciones de inversión existen entonces? Vamos a hablar de dos: Lending y Derivatives
Siguiente capítulos:
submitted by jreddredd to merval [link] [comments]

DeFi: como escapar del peso (y de la AFIP). Capítulo 3

DeFi: como escapar del peso (y de la AFIP). Capítulo 3
Capítulos anteriores:
Introducción Lending
Capítulo 3: Derivados
Aplica mismo disclaimer que el capítulo 1
En esta oportunidad vamos a analizar oportunidades de inversión en activos físicos a través de tokens en Ethereum.
Synthetix
Synthetix es un protocolo que permite comprar y vender "activos sintéticos" o dicho de otra manera, lograr exposición a activos del "mundo real" mediante el trading de Synths. Todo on-chain, sin intermediarios o terceros que controlen las operaciones.
Los Synths son tokens basados en Ethereum que proveen exposición a activos como el oro, plata, monedas (USD, GBP), commodities, índices de stock markets y próximamente incluso a acciones individuales. Estos tokens cotizan como el activo que representan y van siguiendo el precio según el mercado real de ese activo. Aunque lejos esta de ser lo mismo, sería como un ETF tipo GLD que "sigue" el precio del oro físico. Algunos de los Synths que hoy están disponibles son:
  • sBTC/ETH/BNB y otros, que siguen la cotización de esas y otras cryptos
  • sXAU representa una onza de oro
  • sXAG lo mismo pero de plata
  • sUSD/EUJPY/GBP y otras, para las monedas fiat
  • sNIKKEI el índice Nikkei 225 de Japón
  • sFTSE el índice FTSE 100 de UK
y ya están anunciados el lanzamiento de commodities como el barril de petróleo Brent (sBZ) o acciones individuales (sAAPL, sTSLA, etc.)
De esta manera uno puede, con sus USDC o DAI, comprar por ejemplo sXAU y de esa manera tener un criptoactivo que representa una onza de oro, generando exposición a su fluctuación de precio. O diversificarse en varias monedas y armar una cartera con Euros, Libras y Francos Suizos para no estar únicamente expuesto al Dólar. Siempre con la posibilidad de hacerlo en fracciones (0.045 sXAU) y sin restricciones, reglamentaciones, trabas, burocracia y todo el listado que venimos repitiendo en estas guías.
La cotización de sXAU con respecto al dólar (sUSD) en el último mes
En poco tiempo, a medida que se vayan lanzando nuevos synths, uno podría armarse una cartera de inversiones de la misma manera que lo hace en un broker tradicional con acciones de diferentes empresas o ETFs compuestos de mercados enteros como el S&P500.
Para empezar a usar Synthetix no hace falta nada más que un wallet y tener disponibles sUSD, que puede comprarse en varios exchanges o en la misma plataforma de Synthetix. Luego ingresar al exchange e intercambiar por el Synth que se quiera. Ese Synth se puede vender en cualquier momento en el mismo exchange por sUSD, que luego podrá ser intercambiado por la crypto que se quiera (o mantener en sUSD que representa al dólar, al igual que USDC o DAI).
Hoy cada Synth sigue al precio de su activo mediante un Oracle, que es un servicio centralizado que informa el precio. Ese es hoy el "punto débil" del sistema, ya que ese Oracle podría ser hackeado o intervenido, pero ya se está trabajando en utilizar ChainLink (otra blockchain descentralizada) para informar los precios y poder deshacerse de los Oracles. El proyecto y todos los synths están garantizados por el token SNX que es guardado como collateral, aportado por gente que por bloquear ("staking") sus SNX en la plataforma recibe a cambio ingresos por los trading fees del exchange. Hoy el proyecto está sobrecolateralizado en un 820%.
Synthetix es uno de los proyectos más innovadores en el espacio y el segundo en volumen de operación después de Maker DAO (donde se crean los DAI). Hoy todavía es limitado en la diversidad de Activos o Synths que se pueden comprar, pero de a poco van agregando más cantidad y variedad (acciones, commodities, forex). La promesa de la plataforma es llegar a un momento donde una persona pueda invertir on-chain y de manera descentralizada con exactamente las mismas posibilidades y oportunidades que en un broker tradicional.
Leer más: AMA con el fundador de Synthetix, Kain Warwick y su CTO Justin Moses (en inglés)
RealT
Otro proyecto interesante para participar de la economía real vía blockchain es RealT. Antes que nada es importante aclarar la diferencia con Synthetix: esta plataforma tiene un nivel de centralización muchísimo mayor, depende de un administrador central que gestiona la inversión mediante diferentes vehículos legales en USA, consiste en la inversión en activos físicos y varias cuestiones más que la convierten en un híbrido que igualmente me parece que es interesante evaluar.
RealT permite participar de manera fraccionada de un negocio inmobiliario real en USA (por ahora, en Detroit), a través de tokens en Ethereum. Está apuntado a pequeños inversores internacionales, permitiendo de una manera muy sencilla y con poca inversión ser parte de la compra de una propiedad y luego de sus ingresos por el alquiler. Sería algo asi como una réplica digital de invertir en un REIT en el mercado tradicional (como siempre aclaro, con sus obvias diferencias).
RealT ofrece distintas propiedades fraccionadas en partes de aproximadamente 0.1% de su valor. Hoy por ejemplo se puede comprar por $53.13 un token de una propiedad de $74.389, que va a generar $5.88 por año de ingresos por el alquiler (después de fees), rindiendo un 11.06%. Se pueden comprar cuantas tokens se deseen, y se puede participar de varias propiedades para diversificar. Lo interesante de todo esto es que la participación implica la compra de un token en Ethereum (RealToken), y a partir de ahi quien tenga ese token recibirá los dividendos en forma diaria en DAI. Esto quiere decir que también existe un mercado secundario, ya que los RealTokens pueden luego transferirse y venderse, ya sea a través de su sitio o en Uniswap. Para participar en una compra es necesario registrarse en el sitio y pasar por el proceso KYC presentando documentación, y las direcciones ETH adonde se transfiere el token deben ser whitelisteadas con la comprobación de identidad (los puristas de la descentralización se están arrancando los ojos al leer esto)
Es posible ver la actividad de cada propiedad en el blockchain (ejemplo), con sus transferencias, pagos, etc. Desde el lado legal, para cada propiedad se crea una LLC, donde los dueños son los tenedores del token, y estas LLC son independientes de la quien las administra (RealT). Sin dudas es el proyecto más riesgoso de los que venimos comentando por su alto nivel de centralización, pero por otro lado ofrece un rendimiento anual muy alto y la posibilidad de diversificar en un negocio distinto y atado a la economía real.
Próximo capítulo: robots de inversión
submitted by jreddredd to merval [link] [comments]

Some thoughts on turning the corner: more trades does not mean more profits.

Just curious what other traders are doing in terms of frequency, contract size, and profit target. I also wanted to share some thoughts on finally turning the corner and entering a new stage in my trading.
I trade only one setup and if/when it occurs, it's right at the opening bell. If the setup occurs, I enter at the market right on the close of the 9:30EST candle. I go for 6-10 points on the ES, and stop loss usually 4-6 points depending on volatility and ATR.
Once I enter the trade, I close the platform and continue about my day. Usually I'll check it around 10:45-11 a.m. and it's usually hit either stop or profit by then.
This setup occurs about 4 times a week, so 4 trades with potential for about 40 points ES, give or take.
After a year of learning, making mistakes, system jumping, tweaking, grail seeking (looking at you, NoNonSense Forex), something finally clicked in my head -- I realized that I had to focus and master one particular setup, replete with detailed rules and conditions, at a specific time. I removed all indications of P/L, take that one very specific trade when it presents itself, and just walk away.
The results have been great so far, and mentally I'm so much more relaxed and peaceful. I had a tendency to overanalyze, talk myself out of trades and then jump on board after the move was underway, taking profits too early, usually getting spanked by the market and all frustrated, etc.
I had finally hit the rock bottom point, like when Mark Douglas says a trader has finally had enough and will do anything it takes to stop the pain. I started to think of the dollars in my account as points on a score board (when I checked them at the end of the week, not during the day or after a trade). I thought of my setups as "tactical moves" or "openings" in games like chess and poker, which I also love.
The gains/losses are modest, but I feel like I've entered a new stage in my trading. I plan to trade this one setup only until I've mastered it, then try to add another one for another part of the day. The key for me was drilling down the specifics. It seems so obvious and I had known about it since the beginning of my trading, but I had never accepted it truly, or really believed it deep in my core. I thought I was smarter or didn't need specific rules because -- real day traders take tons of trades a day right?! I wasn't able to grasp the truth because I wasn't ready for it.
Anyways, just wanted to share this with you all. Idk what happened really, but I guess I just spent that 1000 hours or whatever it takes to achieve the next level in any skill. What's best about it is the mental benefits -- feeling free of the screen, the endless overanalyzing, and the calmness that comes with removing all dollar signs from my platform.
Hope this provides some help to someone out there. Happy trading!
submitted by throwaway2546198 to FuturesTrading [link] [comments]

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submitted by GiuliettaShop to Popify [link] [comments]

MAME 0.215

MAME 0.215

A wild MAME 0.215 appears! Yes, another month has gone by, and it’s time to check out what’s new. On the arcade side, Taito’s incredibly rare 4-screen top-down racer Super Dead Heat is now playable! Joining its ranks are other rarities, such as the European release of Capcom‘s 19XX: The War Against Destiny, and a bootleg of Jaleco’s P-47 – The Freedom Fighter using a different sound system. We’ve got three newly supported Game & Watch titles: Lion, Manhole, and Spitball Sparky, as well as the crystal screen version of Super Mario Bros. Two new JAKKS Pacific TV games, Capcom 3-in-1 and Disney Princesses, have also been added.
Other improvements include several more protection microcontrollers dumped and emulated, the NCR Decision Mate V working (now including hard disk controllers), graphics fixes for the 68k-based SNK and Alpha Denshi games, and some graphical updates to the Super A'Can driver.
We’ve updated bgfx, adding preliminary Vulkan support. There are some issues we’re aware of, so if you run into issues, check our GitHub issues page to see if it’s already known, and report it if it isn’t. We’ve also improved support for building and running on Linux systems without X11.
You can get the source and Windows binary packages from the download page.

MAMETesters Bugs Fixed

New working machines

New working clones

Machines promoted to working

New machines marked as NOT_WORKING

New clones marked as NOT_WORKING

New working software list additions

Software list items promoted to working

New NOT_WORKING software list additions

Source Changes

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MAME 0.215

MAME 0.215

A wild MAME 0.215 appears! Yes, another month has gone by, and it’s time to check out what’s new. On the arcade side, Taito’s incredibly rare 4-screen top-down racer Super Dead Heat is now playable! Joining its ranks are other rarities, such as the European release of Capcom‘s 19XX: The War Against Destiny, and a bootleg of Jaleco’s P-47 – The Freedom Fighter using a different sound system. We’ve got three newly supported Game & Watch titles: Lion, Manhole, and Spitball Sparky, as well as the crystal screen version of Super Mario Bros. Two new JAKKS Pacific TV games, Capcom 3-in-1 and Disney Princesses, have also been added.
Other improvements include several more protection microcontrollers dumped and emulated, the NCR Decision Mate V working (now including hard disk controllers), graphics fixes for the 68k-based SNK and Alpha Denshi games, and some graphical updates to the Super A'Can driver.
We’ve updated bgfx, adding preliminary Vulkan support. There are some issues we’re aware of, so if you run into issues, check our GitHub issues page to see if it’s already known, and report it if it isn’t. We’ve also improved support for building and running on Linux systems without X11.
You can get the source and Windows binary packages from the download page.

MAMETesters Bugs Fixed

New working machines

New working clones

Machines promoted to working

New machines marked as NOT_WORKING

New clones marked as NOT_WORKING

New working software list additions

Software list items promoted to working

New NOT_WORKING software list additions

Source Changes

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US Venezuela Policy is About Oligarchy, Not Democracy

US Venezuela Policy is About Oligarchy, Not Democracy

The proven oil reserves in Venezuela are recognized as the LARGEST in the world, totaling 297 billion barrels.
While ignoring (and even supporting) the atrocities of authoritarian regimes in places like Saudi Arabia, Bahrain and Uzbekistan, US oligarchs have targeted Venezuela for “regime-change” in the name of “democracy”.
Currently, the US is engaging in economic warfare against Venezuela to foment a coup and remove its democratically elected president Nicolás Maduro.
Without providing solid evidence, our corporate-controlled government and mainstream media portray Maduro as a corrupt, repressive, and illegitimate leader with little to no support.

Ask yourself:

Do I ever see officials from the Venezuelan government appear in corporate news shows to tell THEIR side of the story?
What people DO get to comment on Venezuela and what are their credentials and agenda? Are these people essentially public relations agents for the US-orchestrated coup?
Does corporate news provide me with historical background of US imperialism in Venezuela to put these current events in context?

What Corporate-Controlled Media will NOT Tell You

The CIA was involved in the failed coup against Venezuela's popular leader Hugo Chavez in 2002.
Venezuela is not a strictly socialist country; it has a “mixed” economy - not unlike Norway or other Scandinavian countries.
Venezuela is a DEMOCRACY - unlike US-allies Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Qatar, Bahrain, and Kuwait.
In 2012, Jimmy Carter went on record saying:
“As a matter of fact, of the 92 elections that we've monitored, I would say the election process in Venezuela is the best in the world”
The opposition to Maduro knew they were going to lose the last election and so boycotted it in attempt to delegitimize the results.
The US actually tried to dissuade Maduro’s opponents from running!
Maduro invited international observers into the country in 2018 to monitor the last election but the opposition asked the UN not to send observers!
More than 80% of the Venezuelan population had not even HEARD of Juan Guaidó before Trump and the US state proclaimed him the “rightful” president.
Maduro’s approval ratings within his country are on par with opposition-controlled National Assembly. According to an October poll by opposition-aligned pollster Datanalisis, Venezuela's National Assembly, of which Juan Guaidó is president, has a disapproval rating of 70%.
Venezuela WANTS to sell its oil to the US – the US is their largest market and refines a majority of their oil.
US companies Chevron Corp, Halliburton, Schlumberger, Baker Hughes and Weatherford International all have operations in Venezuela, and are allowed to continue to engage in transactions and activities with PDVSA and its joint ventures through July 27.
“No State or group of States has the right to intervene, directly or indirectly, for any reason whatever, in the internal or external affairs of any other State. The foregoing principle prohibits not only armed force but also any other form of interference or attempted threat against the personality of the State or against its political, economic, and cultural elements.” Organization of American States Charter

Why is the US Corporatocracy so Keen to Remove Maduro?

While Venezuela’s economy is not a strictly-state-run economy, its oil industry is nationalized and uses its revenues for the benefit of its citizens (especially the poor).
After years of crippling US sanctions Maduro stepped over a crucial line in October when his government announced that Venezuela was abandoning the US dollar and would be make all future transactions on the Venezuelan exchange market in euro.
Saddam Hussein also went off the dollar in favor of the euro in 2003 – we started dropping bombs on him the next month.
A similar decision by the Gadhafi government in Libya (2011) was quickly followed by a devastating US-orchestrated conflict - culminating in Gadhafi's capture by radical Islamists who sodomized him with a bayonet before killing him. Since then, Libya has gone from Africa's wealthiest country to a truly failed-state complete with a slave trade! To make matters worse, after the collapse of the Libyan government, its military arms were smuggled out of that country and into the hands of ISIS fighters in Iraq and Syria - enabling US-orchestrated chaos in those countries.

Who cares what currency a country uses to trade petroleum?

Answer: US oligarchy

The US dollar is central to US world economic domination.
Like all other modern currencies, it is a fiat currency – backed by no real assets to prop up its value.
In lieu of a “gold standard” we know operate on a de-facto “oil-standard”:
"After the collapse of the Bretton Woods gold standard in the early 1970s, the United States struck a deal with Saudi Arabia to standardize oil prices in dollar terms. Through this deal, the petrodollar system was born, along with a paradigm shift away from pegged exchanged rates and gold-backed currencies to non-backed, floating rate regimes.
The petrodollar system elevated the U.S. dollar to the world's reserve currency and, through this status, the United States enjoys persistent trade deficits and is a global economic hegemony." Investopedia
“The central banking Ponzi scheme requires an ever-increasing base of demand and the immediate silencing of those who would threaten its existence. Perhaps that is what the hurry [was] in removing Gaddafi in particular and those who might have been sympathetic to his monetary idea.” Anthony Wile

US Foreign Policy is about Oligarchy Not Democracy

Since World War II, the US has attempted to over-throw the 52 foreign governments. Aside from a handful of exceptions (China, Cuba, Vietnam, etc.), the US has been successful in the vast majority of these attempts.
US foreign policy is not about democracy – it is about exploiting the world’s resources in the interests of a small, ultra-wealthy global elite.
This exploitation benefits a small percentage of people at the top of the economic pyramid while the costs are born by those at the bottom.

US CIA Coup Playbook:

How to Plunder Resources from Foreign Countries While Pretending to Support Democracy
  1. Find a country with resources you want.
  2. Send in an “Economic Hitman” to offer bribes the country’s leader in the form of personally lucrative business deals. If he accepts the deal, the leader will amass a personal fortune in exchange for "privatizing” the resources you wish to extract.
If the leader will not accept your bribes, begin the regime-change process.
3) Engage in economic warfare by imposing crippling sanctions on the country and blame the ensuing shortages on the leader’s “socialist” policies.
4) Work with right-wing allies inside country to fund and organize an “astroturf” opposition group behind a corporate-friendly puppet.
5) Hire thugs inside country to incite unrest and violence against the government in coordination with your opposition group. Use corporate media to publicize the orchestrated outbursts as popular outrage and paint a picture of a “failed state” mired in corruption and chaos.
6) When the government arrests your thugs, decry the response as the brutal repression. Use corporate-owned media to demonize the target government as a despotic regime while praising your puppet opposition as champions of democracy.
7) Work with right-wing military leaders to organize the overthrow the government (offer them the same business deals the current leader refused).
8) If a military-led coup cannot be organized, create a mercenary army to carry out acts of terrorism against the government and its supporters. Portray the mercenaries as “freedom fighters” and their acts of terrorism as a “civil war”.
9) If the target government has popular and military support and is too well-defended for your mercenaries to over-throw: label the country a “rouge state” and wait for the right time to invade. Meanwhile, continue to wear the country’s government and populace down using steps 3 – 8.
10) Escalate the terror campaign within the country to provoke a military response from the country against the US. If they won’t take the bait , fabricate an attack or threat that you can sell to the US population as justification for an invasion.
11) Once the government is removed, set up your puppet regime to provide the illusion of sovereignty. The regime will facilitate and legitimize your appropriation of the country’s resources under the guise of "free" trade.
12) As you continue to extract the country’s resources, provide intelligence and military support to the puppet regime to suppress popular dissent within the country.
13) Use the demise of the former government as yet another example of the impracticality of “socialism.”
What Can I Do?
Call your senators and representatives to voice your opposition to US regime-change efforts in Venezuela.
https://www.commoncause.org/find-your-representative/
Please share this message with others.
Sources included at: https://link.medium.com/8DiA5xzx4T

‘Venezuela’: Media’s One-Word Rebuttal to the Threat of Socialism

ALAN MACLEOD FEBRUARY 8, 2019
A recent Gallup poll (8/13/18) found that a majority of millennials view socialism favorably, preferring it to capitalism. Democratic socialist Bernie Sanders is the most popular politician in the United States, while new leftist Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez’s (AOC) policies of higher taxes on the wealthy, free healthcare and public college tuition are highly popular—even among Republican voters (FAIR.org,1/23/19).
Alarmed by the growing threat of progressive policies at home, the establishment has found a one-word weapon to deploy against the rising tide: Venezuela. The trick is to attack any political figure or movement even remotely on the left by claiming they wish to turn the country into a “socialist wasteland” (Fox News, 2/2/19) run by a corrupt dictatorship, leaving its people hungry and devastated.
Leading the charge have been Fox News and other conservative outlets. One Fox opinion piece (1/25/19) claimed that Americans should be “absolutely disgusted” by the “fraud” of Bernie Sanders and Democrats like Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Elizabeth Warren and Cory Booker, as they “continue to promote a system that is causing mass starvation and the collapse of a country,” warning that is exactly what their failed socialist policies would bring to the US. (Back in the real world, while Sanders and Ocasio-Cortez identify as socialists, Warren is a self-described capitalist, and Booker is noted for his ties to Wall Street, whose support for his presidential bid he has reportedly been soliciting.) A second Fox Newsarticle (1/27/19) continues in the same vein, warning that, “At the heart of Venezuela’s collapse is a laundry list of socialist policies that have decimated its economy.”
The Wall Street Journal (1/28/19) describes calls for negotiations in Venezuela as “siding with the dictator.”
In an article entitled “Bernie Sanders, Jeremy Corbyn and the Starving Children of Venezuela,” the Washington Examiner (6/15/17) warned its readers to “beware the socialist utopia,” describing it as a dystopia where children go hungry thanks to socialism. The Wall Street Journal (1/28/19) recently condemned Sanders for his support of a “dictator,” despite the fact Bernie has strongly criticized Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, and dismissed Maduro’s predecessor, Hugo Chavez, as a “dead Communist dictator” (Reuters, 6/1/16).
More supposedly centrist publications have continued this line of attack. The New York Times’ Bret Stephens (1/25/19) argued: “Venezuela is a socialist catastrophe. In the age of AOC, the lesson must be learned again”—namely, that “socialism never works,” as “20 years of socialism” has led to “the ruin of a nation.” The Miami Herald(2/1/19) cast shame on Sanders and AOC for arguing for socialism in the face of such overwhelming evidence against it, describing the left’s refusal to back self-appointed president Juan Guaidó, someone whom less than 20 percent of Venezuelans had even heard of, let alone voted for, as “morally repugnant.”
This useful weapon to be used against the left can only be sustained by withholding a great number of key facts—chief among them, the US role in Venezuela’s devastation. US sanctions, according to the Venezuelan opposition’s economics czar, are responsible for a halving of the country’s oil output (FAIR.org, 12/17/18). The UN Human Rights Council has formally condemned the US and discussed reparations to be paid, with one UN special rapporteur describing Trump’s sanctions as a possible “crime against humanity” (London Independent, 1/26/19). This has not been reported by any the New York Times, Washington Post, CNN or any other national US “resistance” news outlet, which have been only too quick to support Trump’s regime change plans (FAIR.org, 1/25/19).
Likewise, the local US-backed opposition’s role in the economic crisis is barely mentioned. The opposition, which controls much of the country’s food supply, has officially accepted responsibility for conducting an “economic war” by withholding food and other key goods.
For example, the monolithic Empresas Polar controls the majority of the flour production and distribution crucial for making arepa cornbread, Venezuela’s staple food. Polar’s chair is Leopoldo Lopez, national coordinator of Juan Guaidó’s Popular Will party, while its president is Lorenzo Mendoza, who considered running for president against Maduro in the 2018 elections that caused pandemonium in the media (FAIR.org, 5/23/18).
Conspicuously, it’s the products that Polar has a near-monopoly in that are often in shortest supply. This is hardly a secret, but never mentioned in the copious stories (CNN, 5/14/14, Bloomberg, 3/16/17, Washington Post, 5/22/17, NPR, 4/7/17) focusing on bread lines in the country.
Also rarely commented on was the fact that multiple international election observer missions declared the 2018 elections free and fair, and that Venezuelan government spending as a proportion of GDP (often considered a barometer of socialism) is actually lower than the US’s, and far lower than most of Europe’s, according to the conservative Heritage Foundation.
The London Daily Express (2/3/19) demonstrates that redbaiting works equally well on either side of the Atlantic.
Regardless of these bothersome facts, the media has continued to present Venezuela’s supposedly socialist dictatorship as solely responsible for its crisis as a warning to any progressives who get the wrong idea. So useful is this tool that it is being used to attack progressive movements around the world. The Daily Express (2/3/19) and Daily Mail (2/3/19) condemned UK Labour Party leader Jeremy Corbyn for his “defense” of a “dictator,” while the Daily Telegraph(2/3/19) warned that the catastrophe of Venezuela is Labour’s blueprint for Britain. Meanwhile, the Greek leftist party Syriza’s support for Maduro (the official position of three-quarters of UN member states) was condemned as “shameful” (London Independent, 1/29/19).
“Venezuela” is also used as a one-word response to shut down debate and counter any progressive idea or thought. While the panel on ABC’s The View (7/23/18) discussed progressive legislation like Medicare for All and immigration reform, conservative regular Meghan McCain responding by invoking Venezuela: “They’re starving to death” she explained, leaving the other panelists bemused.
President Trump has also used it. In response to criticism from Senator Elizabeth Warren over his “Pocahontas” jibe, he replied that she would “make our country into Venezuela” (Reuters, 10/15/18).
The weapon’s effectiveness can only be sustained through a media in lockstep with the government’s regime-change goals. That the media is fixated on the travails of a relatively small and unimportant country in America’s “backyard,” and that the picture of Venezuela is so shallow, is not a mistake. Rather, the simplistic narrative of a socialist dictatorship starving its own people provides great utility as a weapon for the establishment to beat back the domestic “threat” of socialism, by associating movements and figures such as Bernie Sanders, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Jeremy Corbyn with an evil caricature they have carefully crafted.

Corporate Propaganda Blitz Against Venezuela’s Elected President: MSM Will Not Let Facts Interfere With Coup Agenda

Facts Don’t Interfere With Propaganda Blitz Against Venezuela’s Elected President Joe Emersberger
Guaidó, anointed by Trump and a new Iraq-style Coalition of the Willing, did not even run in Venezuela’s May 2018 presidential election. In fact, shortly before the election, Guaidó was not even mentioned by the opposition-aligned pollster Datanálisis when it published approval ratings of various prominent opposition leaders. Henri Falcón, who actually did run in the election (defying US threats against him) was claimed by the pollster to basically be in a statistical tie for most popular among them. It is remarkable to see the Western media dismiss this election as “fraudulent,” without even attempting to show that it was “stolen“ from Falcón. Perhaps that’s because it so clearly wasn’t stolen.
Graph: Approval Ratings of Main Venezuelan Leaders Nov 2016 - July 2018 Data from the opposition-aligned pollsters in Venezuela (via Torino Capital) indicates that Henri Falcón was the most popular of the major opposition figures at the time of the May 2018 presidential election. Nicolás Maduro won the election due to widespread opposition boycotting and votes drawn by another opposition candidate, Javier Bertucci.
The constitutional argument that Trump and his accomplices have used to “recognize” Guaidó rests on the preposterous claim that Maduro has “abandoned” the presidency by soundly beating Falcón in the election. Caracas-based journalist Lucas Koerner took apart that argument in more detail.
What about the McClatchy-owned Miami Herald's claim that Maduro “continues to reject international aid”? In November 2018, following a public appeal by Maduro, the UN did authorize emergency aid for Venezuela. It was even reported by Reuters (11/26/18), whose headlines have often broadcast the news agency’s contempt for Maduro’s government.
It’s not unusual for Western media to ignore facts they have themselves reported when a major “propaganda blitz” by Washington is underway against a government. For example, it was generally reported accurately in 1998 that UN weapons inspectors were withdrawn from Iraq ahead of air strikes ordered by Bill Clinton, not expelled by Iraq’s government. But by 2002, it became a staple of pro-war propaganda that Iraq had expelled weapons inspectors (Extra! Update, 10/02).
And, incidentally, when a Venezuelan NGO requested aid from the UN-linked Global Fund in 2017, it was turned down. Setting aside how effective foreign aid is at all (the example of Haiti hardly makes a great case for it), it is supposed to be distributed based on relative need, not based on how badly the US government wants somebody overthrown.
But the potential for “aid” to alleviate Venezuela’s crisis is negligible compared to the destructive impact of US economic sanctions. Near the end of the Miami Herald article, author Jim Wyss cited an estimate from the thoroughly demonized Venezuelan government that US sanctions have cost it $30 billion, with no time period specified for that estimate. Again, this calls to mind the run-up to the Iraq invasion, when completely factual statements that Iraq had no WMDs were attributed to the discredited Iraqi government. Quoting Iraqi denials supposedly balanced the lies spread in the media by US officials like John Bolton, who now leads the charge to overthrow Maduro. Wyss could have cited economists independent of the Maduro government on the impact of US sanctions—like US economist Mark Weisbrot, or the emphatically anti-Maduro Venezuelan economist Francisco Rodríguez.
Illegal US sanctions were first imposed in 2015 under a fraudulent “state of emergency” declared by Obama, and subsequently extended by Trump. The revenue lost to Venezuela’s government due to US economic sanctions since August 2017, when the impact became very easy to quantify, is by now well over $6 billion. That’s enormous in an economy that was only able to import about $11 billion of goods in 2018, and needs about $2 billion per year in medicines. Trump’s “recognition” of Guaidó as “interim president” was the pretext for making the already devastating sanctions much worse. Last month, Francisco Rodríguez revised his projection for the change in Venezuela’s real GDP in 2019, from an 11 percent contraction to 26 percent, after the intensified sanctions were announced.
The $20 million in US “aid” that Wyss is outraged Maduro won’t let in is a rounding error compared to the billions already lost from Trump’s sanctions.
Former US Ambassador to Venezuela William Brownfield, who pressed for more sanctions on Venezuela, dispensed with the standard “humanitarian” cover that US officials have offered for them (Intercept, 2/10/19):
And if we can do something that will bring that end quicker, we probably should do it, but we should do it understanding that it’s going to have an impact on millions and millions of people who are already having great difficulty finding enough to eat, getting themselves cured when they get sick, or finding clothes to put on their children before they go off to school. We don’t get to do this and pretend as though it has no impact there. We have to make the hard decision—the desired outcome justifies this fairly severe punishment.
How does this gruesome candor get missed by reporters like Wyss, and go unreported in his article?
Speaking of “severe punishment,” if the names John Bolton and Elliott Abrams don’t immediately call to mind the punishment they should be receiving for crimes against humanity, it illustrates how well the Western propaganda system functions. Bolton, a prime facilitator of the Iraq War, recently suggested that Maduro could be sent to a US-run torture camp in Cuba. Abrams played a key role in keeping US support flowing to mass murderers and torturers in Central America during the 1980s. Also significant that Abrams, brought in by Trump to help oust Maduro, used “humanitarian aid” as cover to supply weapons to the US-backed Contra terrorists in Nicaragua.
In the Miami Herald article, the use of US “aid” for military purposes is presented as another allegation made by the vilified Venezuelan president: “Maduro has repeatedly said the aid is cover for a military invasion and has ordered his armed forces not to let it in, even as food and medicine shortages sweep the country.”
Venezuela Accuses U.S. of Secretly Shipping Arms After Weapons Found on Plane with Possible CIA Ties | Democracy Now!
Calling for international aid and being democratically elected will do as little to protect Maduro’s government from US aggression as being disarmed of WMD did to prevent Iraq from being invaded—unless there is much more pushback from the US public against a lethal propaganda system.

When Is a Democracy not a Democracy? When It’s Venezuela and the US is Pushing Regime Change. Venezuela has as much right to call itself a democracy as does the United States. Until that is understood by enough people, the Trump administration will continue to devastate Venezuela’s economy with illegal sanctions and push it towards civil war.
Suggested Reading:
UN Rapporteur: US Sanctions Cause Death in Venezuela
Guaido is playing it fast and loose with the Bolivarian Constitution to justify a dictatorship
Trump’s Economic Sanctions Have Cost Venezuela About $6bn Since August 2017
How could Venezuela's president 'steal' the 2018 election from an unknown who didn't run?
In other news...
The Largest Protest Ever Was 15 Years Ago. The Iraq War Isn’t Over. What Happened?
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